On Saturday, a first-time women’s Wimbledon champion will be crowned, as Marketa Vondrousova of the Czech Republic takes on No. 6 Ons Jabeur of Tunisia.

If Vondrousova wins, she will become the first unseeded woman to ever do so, and if Jabeur takes home the title, she will become the first African woman in the Open era to earn a Grand Slam singles trophy. Who will win? We asked our experts:

Cliff Drysdale: Jabeur needs to get the ball in play on Vondrousova’s serve. She will win most baseline rallies.

Pam Shriver: Jabeur needs to be patient and wait for the right time to attack and the right time to play finesse shots. Vondrousova, a tricky lefty, has a balanced attack with enough slices and drop shots to make anyone feel uneasy. Jabeur will need to adjust her court position often to make sure she strikes the ball at the height most preferred. Jabeur can use her outside serve on deuce court with plus one often to open court to lefty Vondrousova.

Alexandra Stevenson: Jabeur needs to bring her serving skills and her fight to the match. She says she has had her “revenge” this year — with her defeat over Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka. Jabeur will be carrying that momentum into the finals to win. Her slice serve on the deuce side is a must against the lefty Vondrousova. It will set up her second shot for control of the court.

Rennae Stubbs: She has to take advantage of her experience in this moment early in the match. Having played last year in the final, I suspect she is ready for the moment this time. She cannot get into the backhand cross to Vondrousova’s forehand, so she has to either go middle more to the backhand or use her slice to change directions down the line. Both players will rely heavily on first serves and their variety, but can Jabeur hit her backhand down the line effectively?

Bill Connelly: To me, it’s all about Jabeur’s serve. Heading into Wimbledon, she had won 68% of her first-serve points and 46% of her second-serve points. In her two losses to Vondrousova, however, she was at 60% and 32%, respectively. She was broken eight times in a three-set loss at the Australian Open and five more times in the straight-sets loss at Indian Wells in March.

But at Wimbledon, she has served as well as ever. She’s been broken only six times in this four-match gauntlet (Bianca Andreescu, Petra Kvitova, Rybakina, Sabalenka), and she has won 80% of first-serve points and 52% of second-serve points in every match. She’s controlling points beautifully and putting massive pressure on opponents. Vondrousova might be the best returner in the game not named Iga Swiatek, but if Jabeur keeps serving like this, she’s the favorite.

Tom Hamilton: She has the experience of Grand Slam finals, but it’s a case of learning from brutal past experience and making sure she doesn’t make the same errors this time around. She’s got to keep that remarkable record of winning 80% of her first-serve points at Wimbledon this year, but although she’s gone down a set three times at the championships, she can’t afford to do that against Vondrousova. This is going to be a battle of the mind for Jabeur — master that, and she’ll have her first Slam.

D’Arcy Maine: First and foremost, Jabeur will need to continue to do everything she has done throughout the tournament and do her best to not think about what’s on the line. It would be impossible to completely forget she’s playing in a major final, especially after losing in her first two attempts, but keeping her focus and mental fortitude will be key. She’s been putting in a lot of time with her sports psychologist this season, and during this fortnight, and that showed in her comeback victory over Sabalenka on Thursday. She will need to have that same level of self-belief and resolve, no matter the score, to get that much-desired Venus Rosewater dish.

Alyssa Roenigk: Exactly what she did against Rybakina and Sabalenka the past two days: Remain calm and stay in the point. Control what she can control. Before this tournament, Jabeur said that in last year’s Wimbledon final (which she lost to Rybakina in three sets), she let her emotions take over and abandoned her game plan. After Thursday’s semifinal, she said she was proud of herself for the mental work she has put in over the past year and her ability to put that work into practice during a match. She’ll be a lot prouder of herself if she can keep it up for one more match.

Drysdale: Vondrousova just needs to play the power game like she did on Thursday.

Stevenson: Vondrousova’s forehand cross to Jabeur will be strong. The backhand could upset Jabeur — if Vondrousova can push her back — then she can use the second ball to put Jabeur on the run, with her forehand down the line.

Both women have the ability to hit through the court — and then change up the pace. It will be interesting to see who can accomplish it better.

Stubbs: She has to use her lefty game, especially her forehand. She possesses such a difficult change of spin from her forehand to her flat backhand and a great drop shot, so she has to use her variety to keep Jabeur guessing. Jabeur’s backhand line will be a big shot in this match, so Vondrousova has to take her forehand line to keep Jabeur guessing.

Connelly: Jabeur has been ridiculously strong mentally, but in addition to crushing Jabeur’s serve like she has in their previous two 2023 meetings, it’s fair to think that a fast start and early lead for Vondrousova could play massively in her favor, not only because, of course, early leads are always good but also because the demons of Jabeur’s Wimbledon and US Open final losses last year might begin to loom overhead. After last year’s heartbreakers, the pressure’s on Jabeur. The more Vondrousova makes her feel that pressure, the better.

Hamilton: This will come down to Vondrousova calming any nerves and again drawing on that remarkable inner belief that has served her so well through these championships. She played against a crowd favorite in the semifinals in Elina Svitolina, and it’s likely to be the same on Saturday versus Jabeur. So it’ll be a case of blocking out the noise and relying on what has served her so well. She’s been aggressive in her returns, and it’s essential that she get off to a quick start.

The 136th edition of Wimbledon is July 3-16 at the All England Club. How to watch

• Wimbledon draw
• Who to watch

Maine: Vondrousova has defeated Jabeur twice this season, so she certainly knows what it takes to beat her. Of course, those matches were on hard court against an injury-hampered Jabeur and the Wimbledon title wasn’t at stake, but she still can take valuable information from both of those matches. During their three-set clash at the Australian Open, Jabeur was unable to play her game, and she had 50 unforced errors and had her serve broken eight times. Lefty Vondrousova will have to keep Jabeur from finding her rhythm from the start, plus stop any momentum. The crowd will likely be loudly supporting Jabeur, and Vondrousova will need to tune that out and not get rattled, just like she did against Svitolina.